The candidate of the Balearic PP Marga Prohens aspires to form a minority government without depending on Vox to be president of the Balearic Islands. His ambition is based on a piece of information: the PP has achieved 26 deputies in the Balearic Legislative Chamber and the entire left only adds up to 25. The 8 Vox deputies will be key to deciding who will be the president, but in the Balearic PP they are convinced that finally he will abstain and Prohens will be able to govern in a minority.

The PP has achieved some good results in the Balearic Islands and the final tally has made it possible to draw an archipelago tinged with blue: they have obtained a majority in the Balearic Parliament, in the four island councils, in the city council of Palma and in some of the main municipalities of the islands. It is here where a negotiation with Vox can be opened because their votes are necessary to turn around in key municipalities, such as Calvià, where the PSOE is the list with the most votes, but PP and Vox have a majority.

In Vox they remain silent waiting for Santiago Abascal to pronounce, but unofficially it begins to be assumed that they will not enter the regional government, despite the attempts of the Balearic leadership of the formation to propose a mixed PP-Vox government. The electoral call of July 23 also opens another scenario: the possibility that the candidate of the Balearic Islands, Jorge Campos, heads the lists for Congress. This possibility would further facilitate an agreement between the two right wing formations since the PP considers Campos a stumbling block for the negotiations.

While the Balearic right does not hide the euphoria for results that give them air after eight years in opposition, the left reflects on the causes of the debacle. The socialist candidate, Francina Armengol, has summoned the executive to analyze the results. Armengol assured his people on Sunday that her will is to continue in the Balearic Parliament as leader of the opposition while a quiet replacement is being prepared in the direction of the Balearic Socialists.

However, in this case too, Pedro Sánchez has disrupted the plans of the Balearic PSOE because there are already voices calling for her to be the one to head the lists for the general elections in July. Armengol insists that she wants to continue on the islands, but members of the management think that it would be the best poster for the generals.

In fact, the Balearic PSOE has endured the regional elections with solvency and has barely lost a percentage of votes despite the wear and tear of having governed for eight years. The PSOE remains at 18 deputies, one less than four years ago, but the disaster on the left is due to the absolute collapse of Podemos, which has been on the verge of being left out of the Balearic Parliament.

The general secretary of the formation, Antònia Jover, has been left out of the institutions and Podemos has had to settle for a single deputy of the 10 that he achieved eight years ago in his first elections. Podemos has lost more than 20,000 votes in elections in which participation has also increased. It becomes an irrelevant party that must be integrated into the mixed group.

Beyond Podemos, two other parties have been left out of the Balearic Parliament in these elections. The PI, an autonomist party in the style of the Canarian Coalition, is left without representation despite the fact that its ambition was to be the decisive party. Its leader, Jose Melià, acknowledges that the situation in the match is very delicate after these results and announces that he will step aside.