After a totally crushing victory for Boris Johnson and the Conservatives at the election in the Uk, is brexit now just around the corner.
It assesses the Henrik Larsen, who is professor at the Department of Political science at Copenhagen University.
– the Probability that the agreement now goes through, is very, very big, he says.
Policy – 13. dec. 2019 – at. 05:36 Boris monster-victorious – Bloodbath for Corbyn
Now the Danish companies, which have trade with the united kingdom, that the rules are being changed, and it creates tranquility, he says.
Businesses can however breathe a sigh of relief yet.
When the united kingdom formally enter the EU, namely, negotiated an agreement in place between the EU and the Uk, which lays the framework for how we should act with each other in the future, and according to Henrik Larsen, it is uncertain how the agreement is going to look like.
– The only thing we know is that many believe that it will not be possible to negotiate the agreement in place before the deadline by the end of 2020, he says.
Although, according to Henrik Larsen is the status quo, until the end of next year, the uncertainty surrounding the anti-counterfeiting trade agreement have serious economic consequences.
– Uncertainty is never good. And because of the brexit, the united kingdom has lower economic growth, and it plays a role in Denmark, because they are one of our most important trading partners, he says.
Policy – 13. dec. 2019 – at. 12:02 the British day then: – Get it now over, Boris
According to Henrik Larsen is the high degree of agriculture and fisheries, there is uncertainty.
– We do not actually know whether the british will make a deal on fishing or whether they will not, says Henrik Larsen.
He estimates that the EU will do what they can to hold on to her and make sure that if the Uk did not want to go into the EU’s premises on fishing and the export of agricultural commodities, then they must give up something else, ” says the professor.
– So one knows what the EU will defend, but you don’t know how it ends, he says.
If we are without an agreement by the end of 2020, it will the worst that can happen, be that the deal passes to the WTO rules on customs duties.
– If you do not have an agreement in 2021, so we end up in a situation where the 40 percent tariff on all goods.
– That can also happen is that the Uk wants to operate with a totally different set of rules for the import of agricultural products, and it can also make it difficult, ” says Henrik Larsen.
See also: Corbyn: I shall come back… but not right now
