Spain is very close to being among the sixteen best teams in the World Cup in Qatar. The win against Costa Rica in their debut and the draw against Germany put them in an unbeatable situation to advance in the last round that will take place this Thursday against Japan.

The Spanish team depends on itself to get a ticket to the round of 16 despite the draw they signed with the Germans. Even with a loss on the last day against Japan the chances of getting through are quite high. The four points and the good goalscoring income achieved against Costa Rica (7) are a guarantee.

They face the day as the leader of group E, with one point more than Japan. Costa Rica has three and Germany is last with one. The calculations are easy if the Spanish team fulfills its role as favorite and does not allow itself to be surprised against the Japanese. If they beat Japan, they will be first in the group with seven points and will be unattainable by any other rival.

In the event of a tie, Spain would also get the ticket to the round of 16, although they would have to look at the other party in the group to know the position. With five points, they would only lose first place if Costa Rica came up with an upset and beat Germany. The ticos would be first in the group and the mannschaft would be left out. Although it is not contemplated that Spain goes out to speculate, the tie would allow it to be first if the Germans win or tie.

The defeat would complicate access to the next round, but the scenario would not be terrifying either. If Japan wins, they would be first in the group unless Costa Rica got a scandalous win against the Germans. Only the triumph of the Central American team would leave out a defeated Spain. A draw for Costa Rica would not be enough, since despite the fact that they would be left with four points as the red, the goal difference would benefit Luis Enrique’s team.

Germany would also maintain a minimal chance of stealing second place from Spain if they achieved a scandalous win against Costa Rica and the red fell thrashed against the Asian team. In any case, one would have to take out the calculator. Spain’s current goal difference is 7, while Germany’s is -1.

Spain’s group E meets the teams from group F. With Canada already eliminated, Croatia, Morocco and Belgium will play first and second. From there the rival of the eighth would come out. After the second day, the Croats and North Africans are tied on four points, while the Red Devils have three.