The survey was so good for their interests that it was even ordered to be repeated. Despite this, the data provided yesterday by the PSPV from the survey commissioned to Sonmerca Valencia, S.L (1,200 interviews with a margin of error of /- 2.89%) shoot up the numbers of Ximo Puig and place them up to four points per above Carlos Mazón in vote declared more sympathy. The poll offers no doubt about the reissue of the Botà nic – the lefts add up to 48.5% of the votes compared to 34.6% for PP and Vox; Cs is far from 5%-.
Some data that would explain the calm pre-campaign and fleeing from controversies in which the PSPV has been framed. If reality approaches the poll released yesterday, there may be people who think that the best thing for Ximo Puig would be not to take risks; which could justify, in part, his refusal to participate in more electoral debates than those that were held four years ago now. It is usual that the one who sees himself with an advantage does not want to submit to these scenarios that can serve as a turning point for a rival who needs to gain prominence.
These same data show that the great electoral value of the PSPV is the head of the Consell, which would agree with the party strategists who have decided to focus the campaign on the figure of Ximo Puig; the motto ‘El president’ is a sincere statement of intent.
When some polls are already giving the PP ahead of the PSPV -there are more doubts regarding the winning bloc-, the socialist poll breaks that trend and predicts a victory that could translate into some 37 seats (10 more than they have now). However, the data observed in the table deserve some nuances.
PSPV sources highlight that despite the fact that Vox is located outside the regional Parliament (4.8%), the existence of a hidden vote that will increase the potential of the ultra-right is taken for granted. There is no doubt that it will overcome the electoral barrier of 5%. The same sources point out that, although in politics two plus two do not have to add up to four, the percentages of Podem and EU (when the field work was done there was still no agreement between the two formations) can be added with what Unides Podem would be within the Valencian Parliament without too many problems. A hypothesis confirmed by the data that the purple formation has.
They also believe that CompromÃs would be above what their survey says given that Joan Baldovà is the second best-known leader and with a good rating among voters. The study carried out by the Valencian coalition with the poll data from the GFK company indicates that BaldovÃ’s candidacy would move in the numbers of 2019.
Regarding the assessment of the candidates for the Generalitat, nuances must also be made. The good assessment of Carlos Mazón (4.91) responds in part to the fact that he is little known – less than half know him – which facilitates a high score. All in all, the PP would already be around 30% of the votes.
Beyond the voting intention data, the questions about the preference of the winner in the next regional elections of the Valencian Community and the expectations of who will win the 28M elections, place the PSPV ahead of the PSPV. This, together with the fact that 34.8% rate the management carried out in the last four years by the Government of the Generalitat Valenciana as good or very good -compared to 27.9% who consider it bad to very bad-, gives hope to the left to retain the Botanic.
To shore up these good expectations that are seen as the keys to torpedoing the change of cycle that the PP aspires to achieve in the next general elections at the end of the year, Pedro Sánchez will visit the Valencian Community up to three times.
The President of the Government and leader of the PSOE will be in Alicante on May 5, in Castellón on the 9th and in Valencia on the 20th. The places have not yet been closed, but from the PSPV they rule out that they are going to try to fill the emblematic Plaza de Toros del cap i casal.
