In the time of accelerated information, electoral campaigns could last a week, the time necessary to hold two debates and synthesize the proposals well. Seven days to stream and to vote, since more and more people make the decision at the last minute.
The CIS barometer on 28-M, known on May 11, indicates that 30% of voters will decide during the last week. 4.6% declare that they will finish deciding on Saturday during the so-called day of reflection. 3.6% will finish defoliating the daisy on the same Sunday. Political time suffers a strong compression.
If 30% wait until the last week, now the real electoral campaign begins. There are seven days left to fix positions. Seven days to see if the local debates or the Madrid express pot rule, inside which the main media speakers are concentrated. A week to continue talking about ETA, a terrorist organization that was dissolved eleven years ago, or to address issues related to the future. For example: the pace of the ecological transition, a green agenda that the European Commission is currently reviewing, alarmed by the extent of agrarian protests in various countries. (See La Vanguardia last Thursday).
Seven days to finish decanting the situations of a tie between two or more political forces that the polls detect in Barcelona, ​​Valencia, Seville and Pamplona, ​​to name four of the most competitive cities. A week to see who wins in the decisive Valencian Community, a key piece of this electoral campaign. A week to see how the city of Madrid evolves, where, according to some polls, PP and Vox could lose their absolute majority if United We Can enter the consistory.
Seven days to decide practically everything, since there are very few relevant squares in which the elections seem fully decided. This is the case of Vigo, a Galician city in which the socialist mayor Abel Caballero would currently concentrate 70% of the votes. There is only one from Vigo. The elections of May 28 will be those of the shot at the post, we wrote last Sunday. The draw will be defined at the last moment.
The Socialists want to go through the decisive week with the banner of public health. Pedro Sánchez presided over the central act of the Valencian socialists yesterday and resumed the tactic of big promises to try to frame the final debate with the discourse of public services. More State money for public health, one of the main citizen concerns, if we take the CIS barometers as a reference. The Council of Ministers will approve next Tuesday a final item of 580 million euros so that the autonomous communities have more funds for primary care. We are talking about an important decision, not about the reduction of the cinema ticket for those over 65 years of age, surely the weakest, most useless and debatable episode of President Sánchez in this campaign.
The Valencian socialists yesterday filled the Umbracle, one of the unique buildings of the Ciutat de les Arts. Today the Popular Party will give the replica in the bullring of Valencia with Alberto Núñez Feijóo in front. The Valencian Community is a fundamental piece of 28-M. The polls present very tight results. To a very large extent, in Valencia the course of Spanish politics will be decided next Sunday.
The PP (Feijóo line) tries to get out of the Bildu curve after having spent a week talking about ETA, first voluntarily, stealing the initiative from the PSOE; later, dragged by express ayusismo. Yesterday, in Seville, another highly disputed square, the current leading group of the popular, which is substantially an alliance between Galicians and Andalusians, insisted on characterizing 28-M as a day of national voting against Pedro Sánchez above any other consideration. .
The other PP, the PP (Ayuso line) went expressly to Bilbao to request the banning of Bildu. The president of the Community of Madrid symbolically closes the candidacy for mayor of Bilbao and yesterday gave a rally at the Euskalduna palace. After a quiet walk through the center of the city, she drew an apocalyptic panorama speaking of a “harassed Spainâ€. She again asked for the banning of Bildu because “ETA continues”.
On April 29, before starting the electoral campaign, Ayuso’s main adviser, Miguel Ãngel RodrÃguez, who closes the list of the PP in Durango, said the following in a public act: “Euskadi suffers from an unbreathable environment that places it outside from the west Since when are the Basques sad and have to wear their hair like a bowl cut with an axe? It is clear that we are facing a tough campaign designed well in advance. Tension in Euskadi to reach an absolute majority in Madrid.
Bildu is going to rise in the Basque Country and Navarra and the Basque Nationalist Party is looking at such a possibility with great concern. Vox is also going to capitalize, outside of Madrid, on Ayuso’s particular campaign and possibly to the detriment of the PP (Feijóo line). Some surveys are already indicating this, for example those referring to the city of Barcelona. In Valencia there are also signs in that direction.