The absolute majority of the Popular Party in Galicia is not assured according to the survey published by the Center for Sociological Research in which it estimates that the candidacy of the current president of the Xunta, Alfonso Rueda could obtain between 36 and 38 seats in the elections of 18 February. The absolute majority of the Galician parliament is 38 deputies.
However, Rueda’s candidacy, who is facing elections for the first time as head of the cartel after taking over from Alberto Núñez Feijóo, would be the most voted according to this survey with 43% of the votes, a percentage that It is four points below what the PP obtained in the last regional elections in 2020.
The Galician Nationalist Bloc, led by Ana Pontón, would remain, with 29.3% of the votes, as the second political force and would reach between 20 and 23 seats. Currently the BNG has 19 deputies.
Behind would be the Socialist Party of Galicia, led by deputy Xosé Ramon Gómez Besteiro with between 15 and 17 deputies in the parliament of Santiago, which would mean an increase in representation compared to 2020.
Sumar, which is running for the first time in the Galician elections, led by deputy Marta Lois, has, according to the CIS, options of entering with between 0 and 2 deputies and an estimated percentage of votes of 3.5% – the minimum percentage for obtaining representation is 5% in one of the four provinces of the community, a condition that Lois’s list, according to this survey, could achieve in Pontevedra and A Coruña.
The one who the CIS does not give the slightest option to is VOX with 1.3% of vote expectations.
On the contrary, it does give options to a local force, Democracia Ourensana, led by the mayor of Orense, Gonzalo Pérez Jácome, to whom the CIS attributes between 0 and 1 representative in the Galician chamber that emerged from the elections on February 18. .
The eventual emergence of Sumar or Democracia Ourensana in the Galician parliament is a possibility that other surveys recently published in Galicia have contemplated and are one of the keys to the narrow victory, or also, the narrow defeat that the PP faces in the Galician elections.
After the 2020 elections, only the PP, the BNG and the PSdG were represented in the Santiago parliament.
