The latest polls published this Monday bring the current president of the Andalusian Government and PP candidate, Juanma Moreno Bonilla, closer to the absolute majority that would allow him to govern alone while waiting for the flash poll to be published this Monday at noon by the Center for Sociological Research (CIS).
On the last day of the campaign in which electoral polls can be published, according to the Organic Law of the General Electoral Regime (Loreg), El País/La Ser, ABC and El Confidencial have published polls that leave the popular candidate between two and seven seats of the absolute majority in the Andalusian Parliament, which stands at 55 seats. But in all of them two data stand out that seem unbreakable. The PP would surpass the sum of all the leftists together and Ciudadanos would disappear from the Parliament swallowed up by the PP.
In any case, if the results of these polls were fulfilled, the next 19-J Moreno would have to win at least the abstention of Vox, which would be the third political force in Andalusia with between 16 and 18 deputies.
The most optimistic poll for the current tenant of the San Telmo palace is that of GAD-3 for ABC, which gives him up to 53 seats with 41.2% of the votes. The POSE would remain in its current 33 deputies with 25.6% of the votes, but the drama of the left would come from the collapse of the initials to the left of the Socialists. According to GAD-3, Por Andalucía y Adelante Andalucía would only reach seven seats of the 17 they obtained in 2018. Vox would obtain 16 deputies.
Another poll of 40dB for El País and La Ser leaves Moreno seven seats away from the absolute majority with 36.7% of the votes and maintains the 33 deputies for the PSOE. The left to the left of the PSOE would only collect 13% of the votes and 10 seats. And Vox would win 18 deputies with almost 17% of the votes.
Finally, another IMOP poll for El Confidencial would leave Moreno three seats short of the absolute majority.
The previous pre-election poll of the CIS published on June 2 gave the PP 35.6% of the votes, an advantage of 10.4 points over the PSOE-A, which translated into a range of between 47 and 49 seats. , a situation very similar to the one reproduced in the polls this Monday.
