The Popular Party would win the elections in Galicia, but sees its absolute majority in danger. The latest survey by the Center for Sociological Research (CIS) confirms the expectation of a very close result like the one already described in its pre-election survey published on the 25th, when it attributed a maximum of 38 seats to the candidacy of the popular Alfonso Rueda.
Now, according to the public institute, the expectations of the Popular Party in Galicia would be between 34 and 38 seats. On the contrary, he observes a solid rebound in the second force in contention, the Galician Nationalist Bloc (BNG), led by Ana Pontón, to which he attributes up to 26 deputies in the new Parliament. In the previous sample published, the BNG was placed with 23 deputies in the best of cases
The survey does not bring good news for the Socialist Party of Galicia (PSdeG) led by José Ramón Gómez Besteiro, to which it assigns a maximum of 15 deputies when in last week’s sample it reached 17.
Sumar and Democracia Orensana could obtain a deputy – a week ago the CIS sample granted Sumar up to two seats. While Vox and Podemos continue, for now, without having any option of entering the Galician Parliament.
The data are consistent with trends observed by other surveys. The PP has not managed to start the campaign with vigor, while, on the left flank, the BNG would be monopolizing a good part of the change vote. Pontón, the leader of the Bloc, continues to be the best-known politician in Galicia and the best valued.
That said, the truth is that the survey also indicates that 20 percent of the electorate still does not know if they will vote and another 17 percent of those who do commit to going to the electoral college have not yet decided who they are going to vote for. . If we add to this the fact that another 17% of the Galician electorate lives outside Spain and is outside the radar of the polls, the uncertainty is maximum.
