The PSOE would manage to turn around the latest CIS barometer, all the recent polls and the results of the last elections on July 23 and would now win the general elections with an advantage of almost two points over the PP, according to the barometer of the month January of the Sociological Research Center (CIS), the first of the year, which for the first time separates the vote estimate of Sumar and Podemos, after the purple ones left Sumar’s group in Congress in December and joined the mixed group. However, Sumar would resist as the third political force in Congress thanks to the continuous decline of Vox.
According to the data offered by the survey by the organization directed by José Félix Tezanos – based on 4,000 interviews carried out between January 2 and 5 – the President of the Government, Pedro Sánchez, would have completely recovered from the wear and tear of the negotiation and the first procedures of the amnesty law and would go up 2.3 points in vote estimates compared to 23-J and would receive the support of 34% of the electorate. On the other hand, the leader of the opposition and president of the PP, Alberto Núñez Feijóo, would lose almost one point compared to the last elections.
Despite its setback, largely caused by the parliamentary split of Podemos, the formation of the second vice president and Minister of Labor, Yolanda Díaz, would remain in third position with 9.7% of the estimated vote, 2.6 points per below the results of the elections and 2.1 points below what the CIS itself gave it in December, before the parliamentary group broke up. For their part, those of Ione Belarra would take 2.7% of the votes and their presence in the Chamber would be seriously compromised.
The ultranationalist Vox party, affected by serious internal tensions with some notable withdrawals, would add two tenths more to its downward trend compared to the December barometer and would leave 4.1 points compared to the July results until obtaining 8.3% of the votes. supports, remaining in fourth position.
Regarding the parties of strictly Catalan obedience, Junts seems to make much better returns on its support for the Government than Esquerra, which does not benefit from governing the Generalitat as a minority. Thus, Carles Puigdemont’s party would rise two tenths in vote estimate to 1.5% compared to December, although it would lose one tenth compared to the elections, while those of Oriol Junqueras would drop half a point and fall below their pro-independence rival. more direct up to 1.4%.
Regarding the Basque obedience parties, which will soon face regional elections in the Basque Country, EH Bildu (0.9%) would remain slightly ahead of the PNV (0.8%), in both cases below the results that they obtained 23-J.
The survey is round for the interests of the President of the Government, since Sánchez, despite failing, surpasses Yolanda Díaz – who used to head the list – as the best rated leader with a score of 4.42 (two tenths more than in December). , only two hundredths above the second vice president and leader of Sumar, who remains in her numbers. The leader of the PP is third with a 4.16 while Santiago Abascal closes the ranking with a 2.64.
Furthermore, the current head of the Executive is preferred by 30.4% of voters as a tenant of the Moncloa, while only 16.5% favor the head of the opposition. Furthermore, Pedro Sánchez improves in confidence indices compared to the last barometer while Feijóo falls. Thus, the general secretary of the PSOE enjoys the trust of 34.7% of those surveyed while the president of the PP only has the trust of 24.8%. In contrast, 73.5% of those surveyed claim to have little or no confidence in the Galician politician.
