One of my teachers taught me that the day after an election, if you win, it is a good idea to do a calm and humble exercise thinking about how you could have lost. If this is done, one never returns to the original darkness. In politics, the winner is whoever waits that second longer and, wham, the triple goes in. Who knows that every movement, message or nuance makes a difference. Who comes forward by answering the question: how close were you to victory or defeat? Because in politics, what costs little is valued little. It is what we really value in politics that costs us a lot.
The Catalans were the last major mountain pass, in a special category, before the final sprint of 9-J. And there are only three variables here to understand that the independence movement is not the process and they cannot be confused: first movement, if AC (Aliança Catalana) had obtained only 2,900 more votes, 0.12%, in the province of Barcelona , today there would be neither a tripartite majority nor a non-independence majority. They would subtract two deputies, one from the PSC and the other from the PP, and they would obtain four; second, if, for example, of the 542 sections in Tarragona, the CUP had obtained only a little more than one vote, it would have taken another seat from the PSC (it was left with 570 votes); and third, the same thing happens in Lleida: Junts was only 800 votes away from winning the last PSC seat. The winner is whoever has creativity of ideas, manages the direction of the game and has precision. The winner is whoever plays (well) all the suits. Both three months ago and a month ago, there were more possibilities of a pro-independence majority than the current result. And there you have it: being close to victory or defeat did not even reach 5,000 votes.
Therefore, independence is not the same as the process. It is clear. And these elections have not defeated the independence movement, as the majority of the M-30 wrongly explains, but rather the page has been turned to the process, or in other words, a new stage has opened, that of the end of unilateralism and of speaking only to 50% of Catalans. Salvador Illa is in charge of leading the post-process with his white Ferrari thanks to grouping more than 870,000 votes and 42 very central seats that have all the existing operational majorities. That is why he not only won, but he defeated everyone, because his victory contains various operations. And in a Catalan society as blocked as it was until Sunday, he makes him the undisputed winner who will form the Government later than before. But he was close to not being like that. The ball was about to hit the post. It was an optimized result with which the socialists are again first in an election three years later.
There is no pro-independence or nationalist majority, because 80% of Catalonia wants this new stage: that of the third great transformation of public services and, at the same time, that of a different fit than the current one in this plurinational State in the south of the EU. What is Spain. A fit from a new majority axis, that of collaboration and not confrontation with the State. If the majority of the M-30 intends to make the 68 seats of the PSC, PP and Vox operational, it is that it is once again as confused as it was a decade ago. And clearly, they continue living on Pluto, without landing in Spain. That absolute majority is blocking. It will never be operational because it would be speaking to the other 50% of Catalans and not to the 80% that is the mandate of 12-M. Great country agreements: unite and serve. It is also clear.
Playing (well) all the suits is, therefore, understanding your political position and those of your potential allies and rivals. Trying to be the first force without having all those sticks under control in a campaign or legislature is the opposite of what Illa did in Catalonia. Nor should anyone confuse the process with the peripheral, plurinational and transversal majority that rules in Congress. Catalonia must continue its course and Spain its course.
The Catalans started when the Basques finished. And now it’s time for the Europeans. Be careful with proposing campaigns with scenarios that do not exist. The Europeans are Europeans. Nothing else. In these elections, above all, there is usually an ideal humus for the OPNI (Unidentified Political Objects). The hammer will not work. Not even the give and take. Nor get away from each other. Play (well) all the suits.