The worst thing is not that we have municipal, regional and general elections only two months apart. What is much worse is that the Congress of Deputies resulting from 23-J prevents building a clear majority to govern and new elections have to be called to overcome the blockade. Spain already experienced ten months of paralysis in 2016 and the repetition of general elections. The blockade was saved by a coup in the PSOE that cost Pedro Sánchez his job and that made it easier for 68 of the 83 deputies from the Socialist ranks to abstain to facilitate the investiture of Mariano Rajoy.
If we now rule out a pact between the two major parties, which is only contemplated by the Republican candidate Gabriel Rufián, and we also rule out the option of someone being able to achieve an absolute majority, the only plausible alternative to achieving the investiture is the pact between different formations. Many of the polls predict that PP and Vox could achieve a majority, but if they did not, it would be difficult for other parties to add to this sum, due to the rejection caused by the formation of Santiago Abascal. There are parties like the PNV that could join an agreement with the PP, but never with Vox. In view of what is happening in many regional executives (yesterday in the Balearic Islands), it cannot be ruled out that the pact between PP and Vox in the Government of Spain could take place, but, despite the interest of the Socialists in remembering it whenever can, nor can it be taken for granted.
Therefore, there is a chance that any candidate who runs will receive far more downvotes than upvotes. And then there are the deputies who are going to go to Congress with the intention of blocking and their seats will not serve to make anyone president. We are thinking of Junts and the CUP, as examples.
Alberto Núñez Feijóo already sees it coming and for this reason his allusion to the issue of the blockade this Tuesday is not strange. “It seems that if the PSOE does not win, the elections must be repeated until they win because the PP cannot agree with anyone,” he said. There are still many days left for the vote and many undecided voters. Anything can happen, but just in case, don’t forget this word: blockade.
