The PP would once again obtain the absolute majority in the Galician regional elections on February 18, according to different surveys published in the last few hours, which coincide in a loss of electoral support for Alfono Rueda compared to his predecessor in 2020 Alberto Núñez Feijóo.
According to the survey published this Monday by El País and La SER, the PP would repeat the result of 42 deputies – the absolute majority stands at 38 – although it would drop half a point compared to four years ago. The BNG would consolidate itself as the second force with 19 deputies with an increase of one point to 24.8% of the ballots compared to 2020. And the PSOE of José Ramón Gómez Besteiro would once again obtain the same seats as then, with 14 parliamentarians who They would once again place him as the third political force in the Galician Parliament. According to the 40dB survey, Sumar, Vox and Podemos would not win any deputies in the elections.
Despite the absolute majority that the survey gives to the PPdeG, there is a relevant fact that indicates that 41.6% of those consulted prefer a left-wing government, a coalition of PSdeG, BNG and other progressive forces, compared to 30. 7% who bet on a solitary PP government. Even adding the 9.2% who want a PP and Vox government, it would fall below the preference of 4 out of every 10 Galicians for a left-wing government. This data must also be framed in the high number of undecided people targeted by the 40dB survey, 41% of those surveyed.
Another poll by Electomanía for ElPlural.com published this Monday gives the PP the absolute majority, although in this case Alfonso Rueda would suffer a significant drop in votes and seats compared to 2020. Specifically, the PP would obtain 45.8% of the votes. votes (2.2 points less than in 2020) and 39 deputies (3 less than in the last regional elections). In this way, the popular party would remain only two seats above the absolute majority.
The main beneficiary of the popular decline would be the Block, which improves its results. The Ana Pontón party would increase three deputies (from 19 to 22) and 2.5 percentage points of the vote (going from 23.8% to 26.3%). In third position repeats the Socialist Party of Galicia, which goes from 19.4% to 18.1% of the votes and from 14 to 13 deputies.
Nor does this survey give parliamentary representation to either Sumar or Podemos, the same situation as Vox, despite practically doubling its results compared to 2020 (going from 2.1% to 4% of the votes), but it does Democracia Ourensana, formation with which the mayor of Ourense, Gonzalo Pérez Jácome, wants to play the trick of obtaining the key seat for governability with which to negotiate money for his territory
Yesterday, Sunday, La Voz de Galicia also gave victory to the PP with 39 seats, only one above the absolute majority and gave Sumar entry into the Galician Parliament with a seat for A Coruña. The Sondaxe study for La Voz places the BNG as a reference for the left with 20 seats, followed by the PSOE with 15. In this way, both formations would add one seat each. Likewise, Vox would be left out of Parliament. Neither Podemos nor Democracia Ourensana would enter.