Experts do not dare to make solid forecasts on artificial intelligence (AI) that go beyond five years. One of the main proofs of this reservation is found in the reference document prepared by the company Gartner. The vitality of modalities such as generative AI or decision intelligence recommends them to be cautious.
This prevention does not mean that there is no high enthusiasm in the best informed circles. However, the fact that these innovations are adopted by all types of industries and activities requires extreme caution. In any case, as a Gartner spokesperson, Afraz Jaffri, points out, “the early introduction of these devices and programs will unleash a significant competitive advantage.”
It is assumed in the industry that this technology will have spread on a large scale within five years. From there, the predictions are more lukewarm, at least those made by observers who do not behave recklessly, like prophets or enlightened ones. The occurrences about ChatGPT spread by unauthorized voices have increased the caution of professionals.
The expectations of evangelicals are as exaggerated as the animosity of skeptics, according to Gartner consultants. Specialists corroborate that work will be automated, however, they admit that the advent of the so-called artificial general intelligence, which could perform any intellectual task within the reach of human beings, is still far away.
Gartner highlights the relevance of cloud computing to realize the dreams of computer scientists and engineers and to fulfill the desires of entrepreneurs. As in many other cases, infrastructure is fundamental in the development of digital tools. This is demonstrated by composite AI, that is, the combination of different techniques that improve machine learning and expand their knowledge and efficiency.
In an environment in which there is talk of “multi-agent systems”, made up of independent but coordinated robots or programs, the ethical dimension is crucial. For this reason, adds analyst Svetlana Sicular, responsible AI is so important, a term that covers aspects related to making clear, clean, positive and constructive decisions.
