When the cat sleeps, the rats dance. In geopolitics, when the superpower gets confused, dictators multiply. Joe Biden’s United States is piled up with international conflicts in the middle of an election year, and unable to respond on so many fronts at the same time, it multiplies a sterile gesture. The consequence is a proliferation of populisms and petty dictators who, from Africa to Central and South America and Asia, are undermining democracy and freedom. The expansion of the extreme right, military coups in Africa and political coups in Latin America or the shamelessness of fascism in Europe are not accidental. Undoubtedly, Donald Trump’s primary victories in Iowa and New Hampshire are a warning sign of what awaits us if the corrupt tycoon returns to the White House, a not-so-remote possibility given the lack of energy to manage the planet’s rudder of his aged adversary.
In the Middle East the war between Israel and Hamas has opened a Pandora’s box of old and new conflicts that include Armenia, Azerbaijan, Pakistan, Iran, Yemen, Lebanon, Gaza, the West Bank, Israel, the ‘Iraq, Syria and the Kurdistan region. An intercommunicating gunpowder that has endangered the world economy by blocking the passage of merchants through the Red Sea. While North Korea breaks its policy of unity with the South and shows terrifying nuclear teeth, Russia advances with impunity in Ukraine. In the Sahel, red-hot sergeants compete in Mali, Burkina Faso or Niger in a 21st-century cold war, expelling Western troops and embracing Moscow’s hired mercenaries. Latin America swings between the stale communism of Venezuela, Cuba and Nicaragua and the populism of Milei in Argentina or Bukele in El Salvador.
This bleak panorama coincides with the struggle with all the forces of the powers that are competing for the first place on the podium, the United States and China. The economic wheels of the Chinese dual system have opened a dispute that seemed to be decided in their favor. But the battle will be long and the deterioration of democratic values ??and the loss of faith of Western citizens in their leaders portend the worst. And Europe? As always, he is neither there nor expected.
