With more than 70% of the vote counted, Salvador Illa is the clear winner of the parliamentary elections held this Sunday, but governability is not guaranteed. The recount data, however, reveal that the PSC candidate would be the only leader capable of forming a sufficient majority to form a Government, to the extent that the absolute pro-independence majority is very far from being able to be reissued.
Illa would add nine deputies to the 33 he had since 2021 to win victory with 42 seats and could add an absolute majority with ERC and Comuns Sumar, which would be in the air. We will have to wait until the end of the scrutiny to see if the tripartite is a viable option.
Former president Carles Puigdemont, Junts candidate, would improve his results by three seats to reach 35, but this improvement would not help him achieve the presidency of the Generalitat due to the failure of Esquerra, which would be very far from his current results. President Pere Aragonès, the Republican candidate, would be unable to make the government’s work profitable and would lose more than ten seats of the 33 he had to reach 20.
Alejandro Fernández (PP) takes a big leap by going from the 3 deputies he had to 14 and achieves one of his main objectives by surpassing Ignacio Garriga’s Vox despite improving his results by one seat, up to 12.
Comuns Sumar, with Jéssica Albiach at the helm, pay for their rejection of Aragonès’ budgets and lose two seats and would be left with six.
The CUP, the third pro-independence party in the race, also suffers a setback and goes from 9 seats to 4.
Finally, the far-right Aliança Catalana of Sílvia Orriols would enter the Parliament with three seats, and Ciudadanos, led by Carlos Carrizosa, loses the six deputies it had and is left out of the Parliament for the first time since it was presented in 2006.