If general elections were held today, the PSOE would be the party with the most votes with 32.1% of the ballots, according to the direct estimate of the vote from the Sociological Research Center (CIS) barometer for this month of February. The PP would follow behind, which would obtain 29.8% of the votes. On the other hand, Unidas Podemos would be the main victim of the controversy of the law of only yes is yes and would be left with 12.7% of the support.

In relation to the previous month, the popular ones increase in vote estimation (1.3 points, from 28.5 to 29.8), but less than the socialists (1.9, from 30.2 to 32.1), while that the purple confluence, the main promoter of the legal reform that has caused controversy and clashes within Moncloa, loses 1.5 points and drops from the 14.2% estimate of the vote it had in January to the current 12.7% .

The third force in the Congress of Deputies today, Vox, remains the same as in the previous poll, with an estimate of 10%, and Ciudadanos not only does not go back after its re-founding process and the renewal of leadership, but also falls up to 2% and lost 0.9 points compared to the previous survey.

The estimation of the vote implies a calculation method typical of the CIS, but in the direct vote in the survey, the one referred to by the people interviewed when asked, the PSOE drops 0.4 points in relation to the month of January, 22, 5% to 22.1%; and the PP fell 0.3 points, from 23% in January to 22.7% in February. In that section, the direct vote, the popular go ahead.

UP also drops 0.3 points in that box, from 9.9% it had to 9.6%. For its part, Vox loses 0.8 points, from the 6.8% it had to 6%, and Ciudadanos goes from 1.4% to 1.1%.

In the evaluation of the leaders, Sánchez and Feijóo tie with a 4.34 valuation out of 10. In the previous poll, the general secretary of the Socialists (4.38) was 11 tenths better than the president of the popular (4.24). Despite the storm that affects her political space, Yolanda Díaz improves her assessment a bit, from 4.87 to 4.91, but like the main political leaders she fails.

The barometer has been carried out through 3,935 interviews between February 1 and 11, in the midst of a clash between the two partners of the central government over the controversy regarding the law of comprehensive guarantee of sexual freedom and the adverse result of its application. , with reduced sentences for many of the prisoners convicted of crimes of a sexual nature.

In the two previous barometers, Pedro Sánchez’s PSOE had already suffered some punishment for this same matter and for the reform of the Penal Code (in December) and the clash with the Popular Party for the renewal of the Constitutional Court, which in the end occurred without the need for legal modifications when the General Council of the Judiciary moves token.

Last July, the monthly poll carried out by the institution led by the socialist José Félix Tezanos put Albert Núñez Feijóo’s PP in the lead for the first time, reflecting what other polls had already indicated in previous months. But in September Sánchez recovered the first position and in the months of October and November he increased the margin over the popular ones. However, since December the Socialists have backed down.

The data provided by the barometer is particularly relevant this year, taking into account that at least two appointments with the polls are expected, in May, in the municipal elections in all of Spain and regional elections in some communities, and in December, when the elections come generals.