Xavier Trias is the candidate who leads the preferences of the participants in the interactive survey by Public Affairs Experts for La Vanguardia about the municipal elections in Barcelona that was launched a week ago and which, until yesterday, had more than 12,700 people answered. According to these first data, the mayor of Junts, who a few days ago announced that he will present himself in the elections under the name of Trias for Barcelona, ??is the head of the list most closely related to almost one in three voters.
With the data collected so far, Trias has the preferences of 31.57% of the participants in this survey, well ahead of the socialist Jaume Collboni, with 18.69%, and the current mayoress of Barcelona and leader of BComú , Ada Colau, who has the most affinity for 16.62%. The mayor of Esquerra Republicana, Ernest Maragall (10.39%), appears more distant.
After the big four, the party that has the best chance of obtaining representation in the Barcelona City Council is the PP, whose candidate, Daniel Sirera, is the one selected by 5.69% of the participants in this survey. Next are the Valents candidate, Eva Parera (5.28%), and the head of the Ciutadans list, Anna Grau (4.29%). Vox’s number one, Gonzalo de Oro (3.99%), and the CUP candidate, Basha Changue (3.51%) close the list of preferences.
The results of this first week already make it possible to define the voter profiles of each formation based on age and the district where they live. It can be seen that both Junts, ERC and the PSC attract an older electorate, while the majority of BComú voters are in the 35 to 49 age range. A similar thing happens with the parties with less representation: Cs and PP have their most assiduous audience between 50 and 64, while the newer parties or with a more disruptive discourse tend to be in the 35 to 49 years
The parties that, proportionally to their electoral weight, most attract young voters (aged 25 to 34) are the CUP (the participants in the survey who are this age represent 26.9% of the voters of this formation), Vox (21.1%), BComú (20.9%) and Valents (20.5%). Voters of this age do not exceed 20% in the case of the rest of the formations with representation in Barcelona City Council.
In the territorial distribution of the vote that the survey by Public Affairs Experts for La Vanguardia points out so far, ex-mayor Trias also starts with an advantage with two months left for the municipal elections.
The participants in this opinion study have a clear preference for the Junts candidate, who is the most elected in seven of Barcelona’s ten districts. Xavier Trias reaches his peak in Sarrià-Sant Gervasi, where, with 43.5% of the preferences, he takes almost a 30-point advantage over the second candidate with the best position, the leader of the ranks of the PSC, Jaume Collboni (14 .5%).
Xavier Trias also wins widely in the Corts (36.5%) and Eixample (34.3%) and adds to the leadership in these districts those of Gràcia, Horta-Guinardó, Sant Andreu and Sant Martí.
In second place, with almost the same percentages, BComú and PSC are listed, with technical ties in Horta-Guinardó, Nou Barris, Sant Andreu and Sant Martí. In Ciutat Vella the communes outnumber the socialists by a wide margin.
ERC is positioned below. As usually happens in almost every election, the formation led by Ernest Maragall has its most loyal electorate in the district of Gràcia, while its worst results are in Sarrià-Sant Gervasi and Nou Barris.
Of the parties with less representation, the notable support that the PP retains in Sarrià-Sant Gervasi stands out. Valents has its strongest presence in Nou Barris; the CUP, in Sant Andreu; Citizens, in Corts and Vox in Sarrià-Sant Gervasi.
