The PSOE has been slow to understand it; the PP understood it before: the Valencian Community is the autonomy that will determine the failure or success of 28-M for the two main Spanish political forces. The electoral result will define territorial power in Spain, given that it is the last major region presided over by a socialist and because for the PP it would mean consolidating after establishing its power in Madrid and Andalusia. Pedro Sánchez and Alberto Núñez Feijóo know that their future in the Valencian Community is at stake to a large extent, and they are using it to the full.

Whoever wins this autonomy on 28-M, and also in town halls such as Valencia, will have a better chance of reaching the presidency of the Government in the next general elections. It will also be a victory with an important symbolic charge, since the Valencian left have proposed a model of management of public resources radically different from those of Isabel Díaz Ayuso or Juanma Moreno Bonilla. Ximo Puig is the one who best exemplifies the opposition to public programs in Andalusia and Madrid.

But the Valencian 28-M will also be the scenario in which the strategic intelligence of the left to the left of the PSOE will have to be verified, at a time when Compromís and Podemos have opened a disturbing confrontation regarding Yolanda Díaz’s project, with side effects, and negative, in Valencian politics. Let us remember: the Valencian left of the PSPV, Compromís, Podem and Esquerra Unida managed in 2015 to anticipate the idea of ​​“Sumar” with the Pacte del Botànic, a stable and successful government program that has lasted, for the moment, two legislatures.

It will only be possible to maintain the “Valencian formula” if these leftists reach the appointment with strength, far from the noise of Madrid. Otherwise, the PP and Vox could achieve a victory that would be a prelude to what will happen, shortly, in the Government of Spain