The “Juanma Moreno Effect” has devastated Andalusia and its capital and has given a clear victory to the popular in the bulk of the community. Whether you look at it by number of votes or percentage, the PP can boast of governing in practically all the capitals of the region, five of them with an absolute majority (Málaga, Almería, Córdoba, as well as Granada and Cádiz), and in a good part of major cities, as well as having achieved an absolute majority in the Andalusian Parliament in the 2022 elections.

And it is that the Socialist Party has lost more than half a million votes compared to the last municipal elections of 2019, when the PSOE led the PP by 400,000 votes and 10 points, while on this occasion the popular ones have surpassed the socialists by 200,000 , specifically 1,476,000 ballots compared to 1,291,000.

To look for good news for the PSOE, you have to look at the number of councilors, since in this the PP wins with 3,754 compared to the 3,360 of the popular ones. However, these councilors are mainly from small municipalities and the most important and representative remain in the hands of the Popular Party.

One of the cities that have been in the spotlight throughout the campaign has been Seville, among other factors because it is the largest city governed by the Socialists, which gave it a symbolic value of both managing to maintain it and losing it.

ON 28M the Sevillians voted for a change and Juan Luís Sanz will be the next mayor even without the help of Vox because they have been the most voted.

Supported by Juanma Moreno from the beginning and also on election night, the one who will be the next mayor assured that Seville “has given him an opportunity” and guaranteed that “I will not disappoint.” Sanz trusted the “Moreno effect” and he told La Vanguardia this in an interview, just as he ratified it on election night, when he was convinced that the victory of the PP in Andalusia is thanks to the “political change” it has carried out. Juanma Moreno upon reaching the presidency of the Board.

Surprising result in the city of Cádiz, where after 8 years of government of José María González ‘Kichi’, the Popular Party has won with an absolute majority.

Specifically, the party with the most votes in the municipal elections is the PP with 14 councilors (eight more than in the 2019 elections) and an eight point advantage over Adelante Izquierda Gaditana, a confluence of left-wing Adelante and IU without the presence of Podemos, with six councilors (seven less than the 13 obtained by the list that ‘Kichi’ led four years ago).

For its part, the PSOE gets seven councilors (compared to five in 2019) and Vox continues without municipal representation in the capital of Cádiz.

The candidacy presented alone by Podemos does not get councilors either, while Ciudadanos (CS) suffers the greatest setback compared to the municipal ones four years ago and is left without councilors compared to the three obtained in 2019.

Jaén is the only scenario that is really open in terms of Andalusian capitals, since the PSOE and the PP tie with 11 councilors although the Socialists have a few hundred more votes, and it will be the Jaén Deserves More formation that has the key to government with its 3 councilors, since Vox only has 2. Thus, it will be this provincialist party that decides if the capital of Jaén will be the only socialist one in all of Andalusia.

The councils will also be dyed blue after the 28M election day, since at least 5 of the 8 could be in the hands of the popular, four of them with an absolute majority. The fall of the PSOE is evident, since in the last four years of its mandate, the Socialists governed 6 and the Populares only 2.

Thus, after the 28M elections, the PSOE would only govern the councils of Seville and Jaén, and the PP will hold an absolute majority in Almería, Málaga, Córdoba and Huelva. In Granada, where he has an absolute majority in the capital, he is only one provincial deputy away from the majority tied with the sum of the PSOE with Para la Gente, but he could achieve a majority with the support of Vox.

Finally Cádiz, whose deputation is in the hands of the two deputies from the La Línea 100×100 party, since the PP has 15 representatives and remains one of the absolute majority.