With just over three weeks to go before the general elections and in an express campaign, the polls indicate that the Popular Party will revalidate the absolute majority that it achieved just over a year ago, in the last regional elections on June 19, 2022.
This is indicated by the latest barometer from the Center for Andalusian Studies (Centra), which predicts that the president of the Board, Juanma Moreno, would continue to increase his advantage over the Socialists with 44.6% of the votes, which would mean one and a half points. more than last year, predictably at the expense of Vox, which would drop one point to 12.5%.
The PSOE for its part rises slightly in terms of the percentage of vote reaching 24.5% according to this survey, which places it at a huge distance of more than 20% with respect to the popular ones.
Few changes are on the horizon according to the Andalusian poll in terms of parliamentary representation, which would remain practically the same and only the ultra-right would lose seats.
Thus, the popular ones would be left with the same number of seats with between 58 and 59, a big difference with the socialists who would also stagnate in the current ones with between 30 and 31 seats, according to the ‘CIS Andaluz’, dependent on the Ministry of the Presidency of the Board and held from June 12 to 23.
Only Vox would drop according to the data from the Center, since it could lose between one and two deputies, staying with between 12 and 13.
For their part, the left-wing parties would not show great changes either, since Por Andalucía would be left with between 5 and 6 and Adelante would remain at 2 seats.
With all this, if the result that this barometer anticipates occurs, there would hardly be any changes in the current distribution of Parliament: One more deputy for the PP, PSOE and Por Andalucía and one or two less for Vox.
