The PSC would once again win parliamentary elections and would clearly prevail in congressional elections if they were held today, according to the second wave of the barometer of the Center d’Estudis d’Opinió (CEO) of the Generalitat that was made public this Wednesday. , on the eve of the start of the electoral campaign for the general elections.
Regarding some elections to the Parliament, those of Salvador Illa would be imposed with a vote estimate of between 24 and 26%, which would give them between 31 and 37 seats, for the 34 they currently hold. However, in the previous wave of April of the same survey, the PSC obtained better results (34-40).
In second place remains Esquerra with results similar to those of the 2021 elections, with a range of between 29 and 34 deputies. Now he has 33. For his part, Junts would improve his figures compared to the April barometer that gave him between 22 and 28 seats in Parliament, to be between 25 and 30 with a vote estimate of between 15 and 18%. In the 2021 elections he obtained 32 parliamentarians.
In congressional elections, the PSC would obtain between 16 and 18 seats compared to the 12 it obtained in 2019 and those of Oriol Junqueras should settle for between 8 and 10, when in 2019 they obtained 13 and won those elections in Catalonia. Junts would be in a range of between 7 and 9 seats compared to the 8 it currently holds.
In regional elections, the push of the PP stands out, which, according to the CEO, would go from the current three parliamentarians to between 13 and 17, an upward trend that was already reflected in the April poll, which gave those of Alejandro Fernández between 8 and 12 seats. The good progress of the popular coincides with the extinction of Ciudadanos, since the barometer leaves the oranges without parliamentary representation in Catalonia, and with a certain setback from Vox, to which the CEO grants between 6 and 10 seats when they now have 11.
In Comú Podem and the CUP, with very similar percentages of the vote between 6 and 9%, their expectations did not vary too much since the barometer gives them both between 7 and 11 seats in Parliament when the anti-capitalists have 9 and the purples 8. However, they lose some steam compared to the April survey.
Regarding the evaluation of leaders, the president of the Generalitat, Pere Aragonès, the president of Esquerra, Oriol Junqueras, and the until recently president of the United Podemos confederal group in Congress, Jaume Asens, are the best valued with a average grade of 4.8.
They are followed by the first secretary of the PSC, Salvador Illa, with a 4.5 and the leader of En Comú Podem, Jèssica Albiach, and the deputy of the CUP Eulalia Reguant, with a 4.4. The leaders who obtain lower average ratings are the leader of Ciudadanos en Catalunya, Carlos Carrizosa, and the leader of Vox in the community, Ignacio Garriga, both with a 1.7. The former leader of Cs Inés Arrimadas receives a 2, followed by the deputy of the PP Lorena Roldán (2.2) and the leader of the PP in Catalonia Alejandro Fernández (2.3).
The Catalans do not approve of the Government’s management, which obtains an average grade of 4.4, despite the fact that the grade most referred to in the poll is the fair approval (5), a grade given by 26% of those surveyed, and that the 52% of those surveyed approve of the Catalan Executive.
As a curious fact from the CEO’s barometer, it is worth noting the low knowledge that Catalans have of Catalan politics. In this sense, those surveyed know how to answer more and better about the maximum time to collect the unemployment benefit (51%) than about the name of the President of the Generalitat (45%). This data drops to 20% if you ask for the name of the leader of the opposition.
