The CIS publications are always a breath of optimism for the left; the problem is that they are not usually correct in their forecasts. Despite the resounding defeat of the past 28-M that left the left out of most Valencian institutions, the Sociological Research Center insists on putting the sum of PSOE and Compromís-Sumar ahead (which would achieve 18 of the 33 deputies at stake) against the future government coalition of PP and Vox that would remain at 15.
This distance between blocks is very similar to the one calculated by La Vanguardia, translating the results of the local elections in May (bringing together the results of Compromís, Podem and Esquerra Unida in the same political option). However, those seven deputies that the CIS gives to Yolanda Díaz’s mark is above the real objective of five that they themselves have set. A number that, as his candidate for Congress, Àgueda Micó, explained this Wednesday, would allow him, in principle, to constitute his own parliamentary group.
It is also striking that the CIS leaves the PP with 11 deputies and tied with the PSOE when in the last regional elections it took seven points. The popular ones would stay with five deputies for Valencia, 4 for Alicante and two for Castellón. The same figure that the PP would obtain in each of the three provinces.
The seven from Compromís would be distributed as follows: four for Valencia, two for Alicante and one for Castellón. For its part, Vox would not obtain representation in the smallest of the constituencies and would get two for Alicante and two for Valencia. Now, the voxists have 7 seats, compared to the five that Unides Podem and Compromís added separately in the last general elections.
Regarding the assessment of political leaders, the best valued by Valencians is Sumar’s candidate, Yolanda Díaz, with 4.79, followed by the PSOE candidate, Pedro Sánchez, with 4.68, from Alberto Núñez Feijóo (PP ), with 4.34, and Santiago Abascal (Vox), with 3.16.